Win More Often Betting on Basketball

How to win more often betting on basketball.

Key Points

– A few simple strategies can help any bettor win more when betting on basketball.

– It takes work to make money betting on basketball.

Win More Often Betting on Basketball

If you are consistently betting on basketball, you should examine your routine. You can use a few straightforward strategies to raise your winning percentage. Another option is to get some free assistance from one of the top handicappers in the industry. More on that later. 

You can start by taking a few simple actions to boost your earnings in both college basketball and NBA betting.

Betting on Basketball Early

On game day in the NBA, lines typically open between 8 and 9 a.m. Upon first release, lines frequently contain errors. That’s why it sometimes makes sense to bet early.

Before tip-off, oddsmakers and bettors can both access more data as the day goes on. Oddsmakers will eventually adjust those opening lines, but if you can profit from an error, it’s worth betting early. When learning how to bet the NBA, one of the tips you’ll hear most is to bet early on favorites you like.

Beating the closing line by one point has produced a win rate of 53.02 percent over the past ten years in the NBA. After that, every additional half-point increases the win rate by 2%.


Look at Scheduling

Even though the NBA makes an effort to limit games on consecutive nights, teams still play a number of them each season. For some teams, four games in five nights happens often. In addition, the NBA now offers two-game series in which the same two teams play one after the other in the same venue.

The team that dropped Game 1 of the two-game series in 2021 went 27-14-12 ATS in Game 2. The current ATS record for the past two seasons is 36-19-2.

Specialize in a College Conference

If you enjoy betting on basketball, the college game might be your thing. If that’s the case, you probably already know how much the best and worst teams in the country differ from one another. Comparing the 353 NCAA Division I teams to the NBA’s 30 teams makes it a little more challenging to keep up.

College basketball bettors should focus on a particular conference to reduce the field. They should concentrate on a conference that is not one of the majors, i.e. the ACC or SEC. 

Bettors on college basketball can also concentrate on the “Four Factors” that influence winning. Shooting, turnovers, rebounds, and free throws are typically the deciding factors in college games.

Teams that have better free throw rates, turnover rates, offensive rebounding rates, and effective field goal percentages win more games. When betting on basketball, you can frequently find significant discrepancies in these four factors and find value in wagers.

Injury Statistics

NBA games are significantly impacted by injuries. When there are only five players on the court, one player’s absence can have a more significant impact than an injury on the football field. The impact is typically quite significant when the injured player is a team’s star.

Injury updates are available to bettors all day long before a game. In the age of load management, keep in mind that players occasionally get a day off. Keeping an eye on these particulars can mean the difference between winning and losing at the betting table.

Betting on Basketball Totals

Both college basketball and NBA betting on totals are very popular. Totals are most affected by one factor – pace. 

Consider that your NBA team has the 18th-best offensive rating. In terms of points scored per game, the same NBA team is third in the league. How is that possible? It’s because they played at the league’s fastest tempo. The same thinking applies to the college game.

The best thing basketball bettors can do when placing totals bets is to look up the possessions per game rankings of the various teams. This gives them a sense of the game’s pace, which is the main determinant of whether to bet on the Over or Under for the game total.

Shop for the Best Lines

Getting the best lines can make a significant difference in any sport. An extra half-point can have a significant impact on your win percentage. You can search for better juice as well. 

There are sportsbooks that are well-known simply due to their low juice. When betting on basketball, finding the best pricing can significantly affect your bankroll.

Track Your Bets

Keeping track of your wagers is one of the best things you can do in your quest to become a successful bettor. Track everything, including prop bets, moneylines, totals, and spreads. 

These days, there are apps that can assist you or you can do it the old-fashioned way and write them all down. Your ability to assess your strengths and weaknesses will make you more successful when betting on basketball.

Get Help

Look for free picks as a simple way to increase your winning percentage. You can no longer just select anyone’s free picks. There are a lot of handicappers out there who have little work experience. Be sure to select the best handicapping service, one that has been around for a while and has a good reputation in the industry.

The best in the industry will offer free picks, usually daily. You can also pay for picks, but only when it makes financial sense.

Follow these simple suggestions when betting on basketball and increase your winning percentage and your bankroll!